Zero Job Growth, as Unemployment Rate Stays Steady at 9.1%

Another ugly report – not sure why we are not ripping higher in futures as this guarantees more Fed assistance!  Aren’t we happy?

Despite what I am sure will be another hefty gain in via the fantasy land of the birth death model, there was zero job creation in Cramerica in August.  Unemployment rate stayed steady at 9.1% – I will have to dig in a bit to find the employment participation figure.

EDIT 8:45 AM: Birth death came in at +87,000 jobs. ;)  Translated – the government is translating small business is booming across America, creating a hefty near 100K jobs while the rest of the country was essentially zero.  Seems reasonable (cough).

June and July were revised DOWN 58,000 – shocker right?  Always seems like the government revised data downward after Wall Street reacts to it.

Average hourly earnings fell 3 cents. Average hourly workweek dropped from 34.3 to 34.2 (that is important as it is akin to losing a few hundred K jobs).

Some anomalies – the Verizon strike was counted as 45,000 jobs lost.  That was offset by a return of Minnesota state workers to the tune of 22,000.  That nets to +23,000 jobs created if you wish.  Expectations were just below 70K.  As always we need 125K minimum just to keep up with population growth.

U6 rate (marginally attached + discouraged): 16.2%

EDIT 8:55 AM – Labor force participation rate shockingly increased 0.1% to 64.0%.  Way below the trend of 66-67% still.

Roubini is tweeting another 165,000 Americans left the workforce – which is why the unemployment rate did not go higher.  Again if we had a normal work force participation rate, we’d have unemploymen trates 2% higher than currently being reported.

The laser like focus on these figures are silly when they get revised every which way down the road.  The reality is this economy needs to be producing 250-350K type of jobs a month to get us out of the hole.  We have never done that this entire ‘recovery’.

Full report here.

About Mark Hanna 543 Articles

Affiliation: Hanna Capital, LLC

Mark Hanna is President and Owner of Hanna Capital, LLC, a registered investment advisory firm. Mark has been a follower of markets since the late 80s, with a focus on individual equities since the mid 90s. He has been a well known commentator in the financial blogosphere for the past 5 years, following a career in corpoporate finance and accounting. Mark attended the University of Michigan where he graduated with a degree in Economics.

As an avid reader, Market Montage is the personal blogging site for Mark to share his views on economics, markets, and the like. Occasional cynicism and wit shall be deployed in his postings.

Follow Mark on Twitter @fundmyfund.

Visit: Market Montage

Be the first to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.


*