No More Sunshine for STR Holdings (STRI)

Selling continued in the major market indices yesterday, on significant volume, with the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) breaking the intermediate trend line and 20-day simple moving average. For further confirmation that the intermediate uptrend is over, SPY should close below the trend line today as well.

STR Holdings, Inc. (STRI), a solar related company, had it’s IPO debut at the end of 2009.
Currently there is a 23.20% short interest (% of float as of Jan 31, 2011), and it looks like the bears have it right. In March 2010, a complex bearish head and shoulders reversal pattern began developing. The pattern triggered yesterday with a close below the neckline, which is at $18, and further confirmation of the trigger will be present if today’s close is also below the neckline. A price objective of 8 dollars is obtained by measuring the height of the pattern and expanding lower, from the trigger point, by the same distance. In addition, the right shoulder is a price pattern itself, called a descending triangle pattern, which also triggered yesterday and has a price objective of $15.

Targets: short term: $15, macro: $8, Protective Stops: aggressive: confirmed move back above the neckline, which is $18, conservative: daily close above the upper boundary line of the descending triangle.

(click to enlarge)

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About Zev Spiro 3 Articles

Zev Spiro has 10 years of experience in the equity markets and is currently a trader, analyst and strategist at T3 Trading Group, LLC. He is also a contributor to Minyanville Media, Inc. His research focuses on both top-down and bottom-up approaches analyzing chart patterns, trends and relative strength of securities while incorporating volume characteristics and several technical indicators to forecast future price movements. In addition, he places a strong emphasis on money management by including price targets, protective and trail stops in all reports.

Mr. Spiro is an affiliate member of the Market Technicians Association and is pursuing the Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation. He passed Level II in the fall and plans to complete the program by writing the Level III exam in the spring. He graduated from the Yeshiva University Sy Syms School of Business with a B.S. in Finance in 2001.

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