A Healthy Pullback Would Be Constructive

Futures are off a bit as European stocks fall from a four month high. German export numbers came in lower than expected, and ING, the largest Dutch financial services company, reported a 22% decline in profits.

Over the short term, markets are due for a rest after extending away from the 8/21 moving averages. Some consolidation or downward action would be constructive for higher prices to come. Yesterday’s high was 1407, which completed the measured move of the inverted head and shoulders pattern outlined from June.

Micro support in the SPX stands at 1390-1394. Holding this level would be very impressive for the bulls, and would continue to keep many shorts trapped. The 8-day moving average stands at 1384, and testing that area and holding would be very bullish and provide a great entry to buy a dip. The 21-day, which now forms the lower end of the channel, come in around 1365-1370.

High beta tech is still acting well. PCLN is down almost 100 points. I’ve never liked this company. Recently I talked about avoiding it – or gun to my head, shorting it – on the Morning Call. I guess there is some support around $565-$570 with a bigger level around $540-$550. We will have to wait and see how it affects other high beta names today.

AAPL triggered for many swing traders at $580.80, and gave three additional tradable entries. The stock stalled yesterday around $625, and I think the dip is a good time to add. $618 is a price point to watch as micro support. I do think if we see $611-$614 you need to step in and buy more.

AMZN is still holding above the $230 breakout, but needs time to break above $240.

GOOG is taking a break since triggering above $618-$620. It’s been a bit choppy since Apple announced it was ending integration of the YouTube app in the next generation of iOS, but it still acts well. High level support is $635. It can pull into $625 and still be constructiv.

BIDU has been acting much better and made it back onto our “go to list” after earnings. $120 was the pivot buy, and the stock is now due for a rest. Perhaps buy the dip if it tests $124-$125 in coming sessions.

LNKD acted well on earnings day and the day after, but yesterday was not a pretty candle. It needs to hold the earnings gap of $103-$105 in order to maintain its bullish stature.

FB continues to be pressured after a cute bounce, as it opened over $22.20 and gave sell signals as it broke that area midday and never bounced. $19.82 is the recent pivot low. If that breaks and the stock closes lower, there could be more pain for that company.

There is a lot of participation across all sectors, but I think some rest is due before tighter patterns that create new entries.

Disclosure: Scott Redler is long AAPL, AMZN, GMCR, and YHOO and short SPY

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About Scott Redler 367 Articles

Scott Redler is the Chief Strategic Officer of T3 Live. He develops all trading strategies for the service and acts as the face of T3 Live. Mr. Redler focuses on thorough preparation and discipline as a trader.

Mr. Redler has been trading equities for more than 10 years and has more recently received widespread recognition from the financial community for his insightful, pragmatic approach. He began his career as a broker and venture capitalist where he was able to facilitate relationships that led him into trading. Beginning his trading career at Broadway Trading in 1999, Mr. Redler moved on with Marc Sperling to Sperling Enterprises, LLC after establishing himself as one of the best young traders in the firm. As a manager at Sperling Enterprises, continued to trade actively while working closely with all traders in the firm to dramatically increase performance.

Mr. Redler has participated in more than 30 triathlons and one IronMan, exhibiting a work ethic that also defines his trading. His vast knowledge and meticulous attention to detail has led to regular appearances on CNBC, Fox Business, Bloomberg, and he is a regular contributor to Minyanville and Forbes’ Intelligent Investing blog. He has been quoted in the Wall Street Journal and Investor's Business Daily, among other publications.

Scott received a B.B.A. in Marketing/Finance from the State University of New York at Albany, graduating Magna Cum Laude from Albany's School of Business.

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