Futures Unable to Continue Fast Start to Q2

Markets started off slow yesterday and then Apple lead it higher. We did stall in the last hour. Today, futures are off a bit but nothing to worry about as of yet. All eyes will be on Fed minutes today as well as some auto numbers. The European Central Bank also meets tomorrow.

S&P micro support is at 1406-1409, holding this area would keep pent up momentum to the upside. Bigger support lies at 1398-1402, a close below this area and you will hear the correction chorus. Major Momentum area support is 1391-1393, this must hold to keep intermediate momentum to the upside.

S&P Resistance sits at 1419-1422, a close above this area opens the door for 1440.

Banks started off soft yesterday but held the usual support areas. JP Morgan (JPM) continues to lead the sector. A close above $46.50 and you might see some momentum in this leader. Bank of America (BAC) held $9.40 channel support, resistance stands at $9.90 then $10.10.

High beta tech was mixed yesterday.

Apple (AAPL) started off fast and closed well. It was upgraded by Piper Jaffray and JPM today, watch $621.45 as the next pivot. It’s opening above and this is why you don’t roll up shorts. When stock busted through $604-$607.50 its composure went back to strong.

Google (GOOG) was down a few and reversed back up. This stock is trading much better in the last few weeks. I still think this stock will see new highs this year.

Netflix (NFLX) pulled back way too much after a the move from $111-123. It was downgraded today, I might look here for a positive divergence to buy for a move from negative to positive. But not excited here.

Amazon (AMZN) met most targets and was downgraded yesterday. It closed near the lows. $195-197 is some support.

LinkedIn (LNKD) is doing some nice work above $100. In a matter of time it should go for new highs.

VMWare (VMW) was downgraded and yawned. The cloud space continues to be strong.

Intel (INTC) is still working higher, a nice macro hold.

International Business Machines (IBM) was upgraded today. It’s still crawling higher but good for macro investors as it continues higher. Targets were raised to $225 this morning

Autos: Some numbers today could be worth a look.

AutoZone (AZO) target raised by GS, and CEO will be on CNBC. It should have some action at the $386 pivot. I do not trade this one.

General Motors (GM) had a nice day yesterday as it gapped up and cleared some resistance. See if it can continue. The next pivot is $27.68.

Ford (F) is still slow but could ignite soon. Started to get above some moving averages. The stock needs to clear $12.90-$13.05 to really get going.

Precious Metals have been waking up a bit. I started talking about them last week. It’s my first time looking long in them for a bit.

They need time for market to confirm this upside pattern. Right now they are trying to break intermediate downtrends.

Silver (SLV) is holding above $31.70$31.80 would keep me motivated to stay here. Above $32.29 would be good to confirm bullish pattern to the upside. Real Macro stop here is the pivot low of $30.21.

Gold (GLD) has a similar pattern to silver. Nice lower pivot, but it needs to break intermediate downtrend to act better. A close above $164.80-165 would get some shorts to cover and add some momentum.

Starbux (SBUX) has been very impressive and continues to reward longer term investors.

Dunkin Brands (DNKN) held $29.50 well, the secondary offering price. It can get back in motion with a close above $31 area. Holding above $30 would be constructive.

Seems like every time I lighten up and use some caution a few days later I have 5-8 positions back on as this market continues to reward those riding the trend. You don’t need to be all in, but don’t fight the tape.

Disclosure: Scott Redler is long F, RENN, ZNGA, DNKN, LNKD, SLV. Short SPY.

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About Scott Redler 367 Articles

Scott Redler is the Chief Strategic Officer of T3 Live. He develops all trading strategies for the service and acts as the face of T3 Live. Mr. Redler focuses on thorough preparation and discipline as a trader.

Mr. Redler has been trading equities for more than 10 years and has more recently received widespread recognition from the financial community for his insightful, pragmatic approach. He began his career as a broker and venture capitalist where he was able to facilitate relationships that led him into trading. Beginning his trading career at Broadway Trading in 1999, Mr. Redler moved on with Marc Sperling to Sperling Enterprises, LLC after establishing himself as one of the best young traders in the firm. As a manager at Sperling Enterprises, continued to trade actively while working closely with all traders in the firm to dramatically increase performance.

Mr. Redler has participated in more than 30 triathlons and one IronMan, exhibiting a work ethic that also defines his trading. His vast knowledge and meticulous attention to detail has led to regular appearances on CNBC, Fox Business, Bloomberg, and he is a regular contributor to Minyanville and Forbes’ Intelligent Investing blog. He has been quoted in the Wall Street Journal and Investor's Business Daily, among other publications.

Scott received a B.B.A. in Marketing/Finance from the State University of New York at Albany, graduating Magna Cum Laude from Albany's School of Business.

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