Markets Look to Close Historic Quarter Strong

We are now entering the last week that is being billed as the “Best Quarter” in over a decade. This quarter rewarded all types of investors that maneuvered the uptrend that was re-energized on December 20th. Some shenanigans often do take place in the last week as some try to mark up the strongest stocks and the laggard groups tend to be quiet. But sometimes there is a bit of a re-shuffle mid week based on when some lock in profits and rotate into some laggards for the next quarter on the horizon. We will need to monitor composure and see how this all transpires.

S&P futures are up a bit as they had a mini Red Dog reversal Friday with 1388 as the pivot low to trade against. It also closed well almost reclaiming its 10-day. Last week SPY dipped below its 10day and found support right in front of the 20-day.

SPY is trading above $139.92 that fills that gap from 3/22. This trend remains strong and buyable. $140.65 is the next resistance, and $141.28 is the pivot high. SPY upper support is $139.40 and below that is the pivot support around $138.55-138.74.


AAPL– rested last week and is creating a new upper pivot to trade against. $591-$596 is the upper floor with the 10day under it around 588. If the stock wants to get going again- it needs to clear $602-$604.50 with some volume. Pivot high stands at 609.95

AMZN– woke up last week giving prepared trades a nice entry at $186.50-$187.50. $196.20 is the new pivot point to trade against for continuation.’

NFLX– this stock also ran about 8-10 points from the outlined Descending trend line that stood around $111-$112. It’s starting to flag again to absorb the move. As long as it stays above $117-$118 I think momentum would stay here.

LNKD– Upgraded by GS last week gave stock a boost to clear $95 big resistance. It did hold in well. I think you can see a nice trade if it takes out $101.11 for continuation.

GOOG– finally got a bit better as investors got rewarded for adding to positions around the 200day after earnings- It finally broke above $620 and bids stayed with it. It can use a rest after a big week or so. Holding above $628-$632 will keep momentum intact for higher prices. I believe the highs of the Year are not in here.

MSFT– This mega cap changed character this year and is still acting well. It’s trying to put in a new floor after a pullback off the highs. $31.70-$31.90 is the new support to trade against. Needs to take out 32.15 in order to get on the move once again.

Banks still act great – FAS pulled back to the 10day and bounced hard Friday. XLF had very similar action holding the 15.50 area

JPM– spend some time in the 44.50 area as it let the 10day catch up. Friday it was back on the move- time to see if it can make new highs on the year that stands at $45.67

BAC– spent some time around $9.50 and closed strong Friday- it needs to get above and close above 10.10 for additional gains

GS– slow but trending now to the upside-

MA– Looks ready for new 52 week highs. A trade through $428-$429 and this can be a nice momentum trade. Also congrats to investors here

V-$119.50-$120 is the pivot high area. Stock has a nice upper horizontal channel that it will try and clear

AXP– also looks good -57.55 is the upper flag for a momentum trade

Casinos still act okay

LVS– Last week was a bit choppy here as this stock is trying to absorb a monster move. As long as Friday was the pivot low- I do think it can make new highs at some point again.

WYNN-the 10day caught up here and looks okay

CZR– still waiting for this secondary to get out of the way- Still okay- keep trailing it-

GLD/Gold has not been the place to be in the last two months. It’s been trapped in a intermediate downtrend. It seems like it’s trying to punch in a pivot low—you can be in some small vs. the $158-160 area. Above $161.88-$162.20 can create a bounce back to $164-$165. We need to see if this gets some attention for the Second Qtr.

TBT– I send a note to add to Positions Friday while away- it would be nice if Friday’s low is the new pivot low. Pullback was controlled. So now it’s time to go again if this Thesis holds true.

Disclosure: Scott J, Redler is long LNKD MSFT INTC BAC LVS DNKN CZR TBT, Short SPY and QQQ.

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About Scott Redler 367 Articles

Scott Redler is the Chief Strategic Officer of T3 Live. He develops all trading strategies for the service and acts as the face of T3 Live. Mr. Redler focuses on thorough preparation and discipline as a trader.

Mr. Redler has been trading equities for more than 10 years and has more recently received widespread recognition from the financial community for his insightful, pragmatic approach. He began his career as a broker and venture capitalist where he was able to facilitate relationships that led him into trading. Beginning his trading career at Broadway Trading in 1999, Mr. Redler moved on with Marc Sperling to Sperling Enterprises, LLC after establishing himself as one of the best young traders in the firm. As a manager at Sperling Enterprises, continued to trade actively while working closely with all traders in the firm to dramatically increase performance.

Mr. Redler has participated in more than 30 triathlons and one IronMan, exhibiting a work ethic that also defines his trading. His vast knowledge and meticulous attention to detail has led to regular appearances on CNBC, Fox Business, Bloomberg, and he is a regular contributor to Minyanville and Forbes’ Intelligent Investing blog. He has been quoted in the Wall Street Journal and Investor's Business Daily, among other publications.

Scott received a B.B.A. in Marketing/Finance from the State University of New York at Albany, graduating Magna Cum Laude from Albany's School of Business.

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