Guidewire Software (GWRE) : Q415 Earnings Whisper

Guidewire Software, Inc. (GWRE) is expected to report fourth quarter 2015 earnings after today’s close with a conference call to follow at 2:00 p.m. PT (5:00 p.m. ET). Wall Street analysts are on average expecting GWRE to post $122.48 million in sales during the quarter. This would show a 43.35% increase from the Q315 revenue of $85.44 million and an increase of 3.62% from the same period in Q414. EPS in Q415 are expected to come in at $0.26, a decline rate of 29.73% from $0.37 per share a year earlier. Meanwhile, reports a whisper number of $0.29 per share.

As a quick reminder, GWRE reported Q315 EPS of $0.04, $0.01 lower than the Street’s consensus estimate. Revs increased 4.20% yoy to $85.44 million versus the $81.8 million consensus.

On valuation measures, Guidewire Software Inc. shares are priced at 231.99x this year’s forecasted earnings, compared to the industry’s 2.01x earnings multiple. The company’s current year and next year EPS growth estimates stand at (12.7%) and 16.40% compared to the industry growth rates of 17.10% and 24.30%, respectively. GWRE has a t-12 price-to-sales ratio of 10.19. EPS for the same period registers at $0.24.

In terms of share statistics, Guidewire Software Inc. has a total of 70.55 million shares outstanding with 6.15% held by insiders and 87.90% held by institutions. The stock’s short interest currently stands at 5.07%, bringing the total number of shares sold short to 3.53 million.

Guidwire shares have declined 5.32% in the last 4 weeks while advancing 17.95% in the past three months. Over the past 5 trading sessions the stock has gained 6.78%. The Foster City, Calif.-based company, which is currently valued at $3.94 billion, has a median Wall Street price target of $62.50 with a high target of $70.00.

Guidewire Software Inc. is up 22.74% year-over-year, compared with a 1.50% loss in the S&P 500.

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