Scott Sumner
Scott Sumner's Latest Articles | 403
Europe is in Recession Because ECB Wants It
I am traveling today, so only have time to complain about some themes I keep coming across when reading the press and speaking to people out in the real world. No... Read »
A Japanese Recovery?
Japan’s new GDP numbers look a bit puzzling: Japan’s economy expanded the most in a year last quarter as consumer spending and export gains outweighed the weakest... Read »
How the Keynesians Miss the Bigger Picture
Another day, another data point suggesting a zero fiscal multiplier: The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits dropped to its lowest level... Read »
Accounting for the German Miracle
Finally I’ve been getting a flood of German data. I’ll rely on data from Mark Sadowski, but would also like to thank Johannes Fritz, libertaer, and Martin.... Read »
The German Jobs Miracle
This is a fairly important post, but it will take me a while to get to the punch line. I’ve been trying to collect German data, but have not had a lot of success.... Read »
Why Support Universal Health Care if it Doesn’t Improve Health?
Suppose there had been a futures market in the life expectancy differential between the US and Europe in the year 2030. Does anyone seriously believe that the... Read »
Rogoff-Reinhart on Monetary Stimulus
Ken Rogoff and Carmen Reinhart have an excellent new column in the FT: The recent debate about the global economy has taken a distressingly simplistic turn. Actually,... Read »
12 Facts About the Mortgage Market
Paul Willen recently presented a paper on the housing crisis here at Bentley University. It might be the best paper I’ve read on the subject. Since it’s... Read »
The Evans Rule Needs to be Symmetrical
Last December the Fed adopted a so-called “Evans Rule,” which calls for near-zero interest rates (at least) until one of the following two boundaries are hit: Core... Read »
Krugman’s Double Standard
Paul Krugmanhas a new post that fails on every level possible. as Mike Konczal points out, we are in effect getting a test of the market monetarist view right now,... Read »







