Duncan Davidson
Duncan Davidson's Latest Articles | 93
PE Ratios About to Normalize – And Be Too High
We had negative quarters in the S&P on 2008 which made the PE ratio skyrocket to ridiculous levels. The trailing-twelve-month (TTM) earnings had to deal with... Read »
Be Wary of Friday’s Retail Report
As we anticipate the pattern of a Monday Pump up at the open, consider that a lot of positive excitement last week came from a positive retail report on Friday.... Read »
The Economy Abides
We have a lot of confusion in economic forecasts right now. I have mentioned how in the middle of a correction, the market reaches a moment of maximum entropy, in... Read »
The Next IPO Boom
Paul Kedrosky made a wish for the new year: “Remember IPOs? Way back when your parents were messing about with technology stocks in the late 1990s, pretty... Read »
Krugman in Wonderland
Sometimes you cannot make this stuff up. The lead Keynesian Cheerleader, Paul Krugman, contradicts himself when trying to throw a Repub down the rabbit hole. In... Read »
Gold is Going Nuts!
I do not often comment on gold but as Hank Wernicki posted in a comment, “Gold is Going Nuts!” Even George Soros has jumped in, saying: “When I... Read »
Is Global Warming a Pseudo Science?
Al Gore’s bizarre editorial brings to the surface that question of whether what he calls Climate Change is a science or not. Is his emotive, Chicken Little... Read »
Secular Bull Market Confirmed
They drank a bit too much this weekend over at SlopeofHope. Rooting for the Canadians, eh? This comes from their PPPT (plunge protection protection team). Enjoy,... Read »
GDP Revised Up But Future Growth Revised Down
This is discouraging news: GDP for Q4 was increased to 5.9% from 5.7% but the sustainable components were revised down. This table from Calculated Risk shows consumption... Read »
The Logic For Bonds: Fundamentals
When the Fed truly begins to back off its low rates and quantitative easing (QE), we should expect bond rates to rise and bonds to fall. The right strategy is to... Read »






