David Beckworth
David Beckworth's Latest Articles | 182
Can Raising Interest Rates Spark a Robust Recovery?
Could the Fed spark a robust recovery by raising its federal funds rate target? For Bill Gross the answer is yes. He believes a key reason holding back the recovery... Read »
The FOMC Confuses Me
The FOMC has spoken and here is what it said (my bold): To support a stronger economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at levels consistent... Read »
The Shining Star of Europe?
Fareed Zakaria points us to what may be the shinning star of Europe: [P]erhaps the biggest reason for poverty-stricken nations like Egypt to pay close attention... Read »
The Fed’s Long-Term Interest Rate Forecast May Backfire
The Fed is about to release it first long-term interest rate forecast. Gavyn Davies explains how this could enable U.S. monetary policy to add more stimulus without... Read »
How to Fix the ECB’s Communication Problem
The ECB has a serious communication problem. It has undertaken a number of unconventional measures lately–the three year LTROs, the acceptance of questionable... Read »
FOMC Decides to Focus on the Rudder, Not the Destination
The FOMC minutes from the December meeting reveal that starting this month the Fed will start publishing conditional long-term forecasts for the federal funds rate... Read »
The Weak Recovery is a Policy Failure
In my last post I argued that nominal GDP targeting does not depend on bank lending to work. Instead, its success depends on the Fed using the nominal GDP target... Read »
What Really Caused the Crisis?
I was looking at some employment data and was reminded of this figure: This figure shows that construction employment reached a peak in April, 2006 and started... Read »
The Real Negative Real Shock
Are all the problems in the U.S. economy nominal? Robert Gordon implicitly says no in a new paper on the long-run outlook for U.S. productivity (hat tip Reihan Salam).... Read »
Bill Gross Forgets About the Natural Interest Rate
Like Paul Krugman, I am am puzzled by Bill Gross’ Op-Ed in the Financial Times. Gross argues that the low interest rates of the Federal Reserve are causing... Read »






