One of my favorite Wall Street economists called me up after the close today (after the market plunged in disappointment over the Fed’s $400 billion “twist.”), and exclaimed, “We could fix most of our problems by doubling or tripling legal immigration quotas.” My response was “Amen.” It would provide an instant boost of demand for housing and other durables, and it would bring in more skilled workers. Yes, it would bring in more workers at a time of record unemployment, but the skills mismatch in our economy has got to be overcome somehow, and this would do it. We’re a nation of immigrants. It’s only a question of how far back you have to go to find them. When he asked whether Congress would pass immigration reform in the foreseeable future, I had to admit, the answer is “No.”
Affiliation: Davis Capital Investment Ideas
Pete Davis advises Wall Street money managers on Washington policy developments that affect the financial markets. President of his own consulting firm since 1992, Davis Capital Investment Ideas, he draws on 11 years of experience as a Capitol Hill economist with the Joint Committee on Taxation (1974-1981), the Senate Budget Committee (1981-1983), and Senator Robert C. Byrd (1992). He worked in the House and Senate, and for Republicans and Democrats.
Davis brought the first computer policy model, the Treasury Individual Income Tax Model, to Capitol Hill in early 1974, when he became a revenue estimator on the Joint Committee on Taxation. He formulated the 1975 rebate, the earned income tax credit, the 1976 estate tax rates, the 1978 marginal tax rates, and the Roth-Kemp tax cut. He left Capitol Hill in 1983 for the Washington Research Office of Prudential-Bache Securities, where he advised investors for seven years.
Davis has long written a newsletter on the Washington-Wall Street connection for his clients; Capital Gains and Games is his first foray into the blogosphere.
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