Despite Slowing Economy, German Unemployment Rate Falls Yet Again to 6.9%

While all eyes in Europe were focused on the vote in the German parliament regarding the ESFS funding (yes it passed!), we continue to see astounding data on the unemployment front.  Somehow despite an economy that barely expanded in Q2, the unemployment rate (adjusted for seasonality) dropped from 7.0% to 6.9%  (6.6% not adjusted for seasonality).  While employment may be a lagging indicator and set to worsen in the coming 6-12 months, this country’s economic system (and government responses) have been far better than anything we’ve offered stateside. (link) Especially impressive considering how their currency has been strong the past 2 years…. and considering the region has been in one form of crisis or another for 18+ months.

Of course there is a lot we could learn from what they have done, not just in the past 3-4 years, but the past 10+, but to even hint anything a country in Europe does better than we do, is inviting yourself to be called a “socialist”. (link) Much more easy to parrot bullet points about high unemployment & slow growth.

  • Unemployment in Germany fell to its lowest level in more than 20 years in September as the labor market shrugged off fears of a pending economic slowdown, official data showed Thursday.
  • The German jobless rate, which measures the proportion of people registered as unemployed against the working population as a whole, fell to 6.6 percent in September from 7.0 percent, according to raw or unadjusted figures published by the Federal Labour Agency in Nuremberg.  That was the lowest level since German unification and a much steeper fall than analysts had been expecting.
  • In concrete terms, the total number of people out of work was down by 149,000 from August to September, and down by 231,000 year-on-year to stand at 2.79 million, the agency said in a statement.  It is the first time since 1992 that the jobless total has been below 2.8 million
  • Unemployment tends to fall in September as a result of seasonal factors, such as the end of the summer holidays.  To iron out such fluctuations, the Bundesbank calculates seasonally adjusted data, and these showed the jobless total down by 26,000 over the month and the adjusted jobless rate slipping to 6.9 percent from 7.0 percent.
  • “In face of the uncertainty on the financial markets, the labor markets are having a stabilising effect on the economy as whole,” Roesler said.
  • Despite leading indicators pointing to a imminent slowdown in the wake of the eurozone debt crisis, the German labour market is proving resilient, said Christian Schulz, senior economist at Berenberg Bank.  “The German jobs miracle is continuing,” Schulz said.
  • “Employment is continuing to rise faster than unemployment is falling. Better still, core employment — workers earning enough to be subject to social security contributions — rose in July,” the analyst said.
  • “And the fact that temporary workers are still high in demand proves that the labor market sees no cyclical downswing yet. Otherwise, temporary workers would be the first to be hit,” Schulz said.
About Mark Hanna 542 Articles

Affiliation: Hanna Capital, LLC

Mark Hanna is President and Owner of Hanna Capital, LLC, a registered investment advisory firm. Mark has been a follower of markets since the late 80s, with a focus on individual equities since the mid 90s. He has been a well known commentator in the financial blogosphere for the past 5 years, following a career in corpoporate finance and accounting. Mark attended the University of Michigan where he graduated with a degree in Economics.

As an avid reader, Market Montage is the personal blogging site for Mark to share his views on economics, markets, and the like. Occasional cynicism and wit shall be deployed in his postings.

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