The unemployment rate dropped from 10.2% to 10.0%. That’s an improvement and that is good news, but the improvement is small, payroll employment was essentially unchanged, long-term unemployment remains a problem, the number will be revised later and could go higher (or lower), and if this takes the steam out of efforts to further stimulate jobs, it will have the perverse effect of making the unemployment problem last longer, and hence be worse..
Affiliation: University of Oregon
Mark Thoma is a member of the Economics Department at the University of Oregon. He joined the UO faculty in 1987 and served as head of the Economics Department for five years. His research examines the effects that changes in monetary policy have on inflation, output, unemployment, interest rates and other macroeconomic variables with a focus on asymmetries in the response of these variables to policy changes, and on changes in the relationship between policy and the economy over time. He has also conducted research in other areas such as the relationship between the political party in power, and macroeconomic outcomes and using macroeconomic tools to predict transportation flows. He received his doctorate from Washington State University.
Visit: Economist's View