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Tim Duy

Tim Duy is the Director of Undergraduate Studies of the Department of Economics at the University of Oregon and the Director of the Oregon Economic Forum.

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Tim Duy's Latest Articles | 189

Output Gaps and Inflation

Jan 11, 2012| 

Regarding, again, the size of the output gap, this remark is found in the most recent Fed minutes: However, a couple of participants noted that the rate of inflation... Read »

Ultimately, It’s About the Inflation Target

Jan 8, 2012| 

Ryan Avent reports from Chicago on the willingness to believe the Fed is powerless to produce additional inflation: Why is Mr Hall—why are so many economists—willing... Read »

Still Cautious Heading Into 2012

Jan 4, 2012| 

I have been hesitant to embrace the recent positive data flow – once bitten, twice shy perhaps.  Something about the current dynamics that seems a little... Read »

Global Growth Struggles, Fed Stands Still

Dec 15, 2011| 

The news from Japan last night: Japanese business mood turned pessimistic in the three months to December, the central bank’s tankan survey showed, a sign... Read »

Europe Still Heading For Collapse

Dec 15, 2011| 1

The half-life of the effectiveness of European summits is growing increasingly shorter.  While I have been a long-term Europessimist, market participants are more... Read »

A Mixed Bag from Europe

Dec 9, 2011| 

I find it somewhat hard to judge the merits of this week’s developments in Europe.  Some postivies, some negatives.  On net, though, I remain a Europessimist.... Read »

Possible Fed Communication Strategy

Dec 5, 2011| 

As is widely known, the Federal Reserve is working on improving its communication strategy to provide better guidance about monetary policy and thus hopefully induce... Read »

Eurozone: Is Anything Better Yet?

Dec 1, 2011| 

I think the world’s central banks just validated my pessimism – the Eurozone financial system is falling apart.  Will this be enough to put the pieces... Read »

Another European “Solution” Coming?

Nov 29, 2011| 

Financial market participants continue to digest what is viewed as generally good news coming out of Europe.  Importantly, European policymakers appear to be aggressively... Read »

Can the U.S. Decouple From the Eurozone?

Nov 28, 2011| 

The OECD cut forecasts for 2012.  Via the Wall Street Journal: The Paris-based think tank cut its forecasts among its 34 members to 1.9% this year and 1.6% in 2012,... Read »

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