Navigate: Home|Posts by Tim Duy

Tim Duy

Tim Duy is the Director of Undergraduate Studies of the Department of Economics at the University of Oregon and the Director of the Oregon Economic Forum.

Visit: Economist's View




Tim Duy's Latest Articles | 39

Real Personal Income Less Transfer Payments

Mar 8, 2010| 

Calculated Risk directed us to a lesser know economic indicator, real personal income less transfer payments, a measure intended to strip out some of the impact... Read »

Is the Fed Eager to Dismiss Deflationary Pressures?

Mar 2, 2010| 

My attention this morning was drawn to the inflation numbers in the January Personal Income and Spending release, specifically the recent downward trend in core... Read »

Fed Watch: Devil’s Advocate

Feb 4, 2010| 

Commentators, including myself, have been critical of a Federal Reserve policy stance that appears to place uncertain inflation concerns ahead of a very real unemployment... Read »

Fed Watch: Dissent

Jan 28, 2010| 

The FOMC statement contained a mini-bombshell, the dissent of Kansas City Fed President Thomas Hoenig. I am skeptical, however, that this dissent is a significant... Read »

It’s Not About Interest Rates Yet

Jan 15, 2010| 1

Incoming data continue to support expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold rates at rock bottom levels for the foreseeable future – likely into 2011.... Read »

Fed Watch: Out of the Gate with a Bang

Jan 5, 2010| 

If you were looking for a final, cataclysmic collapse of the US economy, you remain disappointed. To be sure, the fallout from the financial crisis is severe,... Read »

Why Christmas Eve?

Dec 29, 2009| 

One would think that policymakers would treat the day before Christmas as sacrosanct, if not for the sake of their employees, but to avoid the endless conspiracy... Read »

Fed Watch: Cyclical and Structural Dynamics

Dec 7, 2009| 

For several months, I have been telling stories that decompose US economic activity into what I think of as cyclical and structural dynamics. I believe the distinction... Read »

Fed Watch: Bubbles and Policy

Dec 3, 2009| 

The Wall Street Journal carried a front page article today detailing changing views at the Federal Reserve regarding the policy treatment of emerging bubbles of... Read »

Ahead of Black Friday

Nov 25, 2009| 1

We are embarking once again into that time of the year when reporters around the world become entranced and enthralled with that orgy of consumerism that defines... Read »

1234»