Scott Sumner
Scott Sumner's Latest Articles | 279
The Conservative Fed
Most people agree that the Fed is a conservative institution. But conservative in what sense? Temperamentally, or ideologically? A temperamentally conservative Fed... Read »
Faith in Fiscal Stimulus
Suppose there was a huge stock market crash that destroyed lots of wealth. Would it reduce AD? One would think so, and some might cite the 1929 crash. But... Read »
Will the Fed Exit the Zero Rate Policy Prematurely?
I generally don’t make predictions, I infer market predictions. But this time I’ll make a specific policy prediction—and hope I am wrong. Indeed I hope the... Read »
It’s Not What the ECB Isn’t Doing, It’s What They are Doing
Although there has been a lot of good discussion about the political difficulties involved in solving the euro crisis, almost everyone seems to be missing two important... Read »
The Myth of Volcker’s 1979 Assault on Inflation
Commenter Russ Anderson pointed me toward a Fed publication that discusses the Volcker disinflation: Twenty-five years ago, on October 6, 1979, the Federal Reserve... Read »
Economics is Not A Zero Sum Game
During the last 4 months of 2010 and early 2011 I got a lot of grief from the inflation hawks. Yes, QE2 seems to have lowered unemployment from 9.8% to 8.8% in... Read »
Why the Dollar Rallied
There seems to be some confusion about yesterday’s rally in the dollar. Here is Kate Mackenzie and FT.com/Alphaville: As Sumner adds, the dollar rose along with... Read »
The Fed “Succeeded” in Flattening the Yield Curve
Some articles point out one “bright spot” in this dismal day—the Fed succeeded in lowering long term yields. They also raised short term yields, making the... Read »
The Definition of Treason
Here’s a disturbing story from the Associated Press: WASHINGTON (AP) — Republican leaders of the House and Senate are urging Federal Reserve policymakers against... Read »
Helicopter Drops Would Work, but “Helicopter Drops” Might Well Fail
Steve Waldman has a post discussing the problems involved in making monetary stimulus effective. He ends up by claiming that “helicopter drops” would certainly... Read »







