Michael Pettis
Michael Pettis's Latest Articles | 141
China: Savings Problem and the Consumption Constraint
I am, still trying to work out the implications for China of a rise in US household savings, but here is how I see it. I welcome comments that may help me refine... Read »
China: Debt is Up, Trade is Down
I am still working on my piece on the global savings adjustment and will probably post it in the next week or so. The main point is to discuss what the implications... Read »
China: Stimulus – At What Cost?
Today is the second day of the dreaded gaokao, the national college entrance exam that more than half of all Chinese kids in their age cohort will sit to determine... Read »
Balance of Trade: It’s Not Just the Currency
One of the reasons why trade-related discussions can seem so off-the-mark, I think, is because the conditions governing international trade are much more complex... Read »
Why Do Chinese Save So Much?
My apologies, but once again I have been too busy travelling to post as often as I would like. I am currently in Malaga, in southern Spain, in my family’s home,... Read »
The Coming of a US Savings Culture?
Last week I spent in Brazil, where I was honored to meet someone I admire very much, former Brazilian President FH Cardoso, along with a large group of Brazilian... Read »
China: Exports Versus Domestic Demand; The Argument Rages
Today’s Financial Times and last week’s Economic Observer had articles that display the kinds of confusion that economic crises can create among policymakers.... Read »
Distortions in the Chinese Lending Environment
Things have been so busy this past week with various writing commitments and with the celebration of the third anniversary of my music club (four amazing shows with... Read »
China: The Death of the Asian Development Model
One of the few areas in which the Chinese fiscal stimulus package is unquestionably having a positive effect is on growth forecasts – although mainly because forecasts... Read »
This is Getting Tiresome, So Please Let’s Declare the Crisis Over
I guess there is nothing like a summit meeting in the sunshine island of Hainan to bring out our optimism, but the speakers at the Boao Forum over the weekend seem... Read »







