Michael Pettis
Michael Pettis's Latest Articles | 136
China: Banking Concerns and University Rankings
There were two interesting and related articles Wednesday, both suggesting that the CBRC continues to be worried about the lending boom and is making what attempt... Read »
China’s High-Speed Rail Network and Speculating Pig Farmers
This weeks’ entry is fairly miscellaneous, a consequence both of the amount and variety of news coming out of China and my own hectic schedule, which prevents... Read »
China’s Overcapacity Problem
The release of September trade data earlier this week was pretty interesting, although because of two or three extra working days last month, plus the very big holiday... Read »
U.S. Dollar Depreciation is Probably a Necessary Process
The US trade deficit unexpectedly narrowed in August, according to the Commerce Department in a report released on Thursday. Exports were up slightly and imports... Read »
The IMF Increasingly Agreeing with the Global Imbalances Analysis of the Economy
As Beijing slowly unlocks from its 60th anniversary celebrations – the streets are still relatively empty but more and more people are going out, although my local... Read »
China: The Risk of Rising Trade Tensions Have Not Abated at All
While the G20 leaders make reassuring noises about international trade, I think the risk of rising trade tensions have not abated at all. As I see it, everything... Read »
How Does this Clash Over Global Savings Get Resolved?
Perhaps it has been because I have been so busy in meetings and school in the past week but it seems to me that not a whole lot has happened to give us much more... Read »
The Two-Step Crisis
A lot of people, via emails, letters and phone calls, have been asking me how I can be so pessimist about consumption growth in China given the spectacular consumption... Read »
China’s Economic Data: Who is Right, the Optimists or the Pessimists?
Today the National Bureau of Statistics has released a whole lot of data. A European TV station asked me to comment on the import of the data, and while I hate... Read »
China’s Stock Market Calls the Tune
The Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets are still hogging the spotlight. Although down 18.0% from its recent peak exactly one month ago, the past three days have... Read »







