Michael Pettis
Michael Pettis's Latest Articles | 99
The Two-Step Crisis
A lot of people, via emails, letters and phone calls, have been asking me how I can be so pessimist about consumption growth in China given the spectacular consumption... Read »
China’s Economic Data: Who is Right, the Optimists or the Pessimists?
Today the National Bureau of Statistics has released a whole lot of data. A European TV station asked me to comment on the import of the data, and while I hate... Read »
China’s Stock Market Calls the Tune
The Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets are still hogging the spotlight. Although down 18.0% from its recent peak exactly one month ago, the past three days have... Read »
China: Why Did the Market Collapse?
According to a recent article on Reuters, on Saturday Lou Jiwei, the chairman of the CIC, China’s sovereign wealth fund, said at a conference on Saturday in response... Read »
China’s Five Most Trustworthy Groups Include Priests and Prostitutes
Three weeks ago China Daily published a pretty funny article about a recent survey on credibility that had taken place in China. According to the article: At a time... Read »
Asian Savings Glut Hypothesis, and Why it Matters
The Shanghai stock market was up 4.5% in very nervous trading today but down 16.3% since its recent peak at 3478 on August 4, and still trading at more than 30 times... Read »
The U.S. Government Doesn’t Need Foreigners to Finance the Fiscal Deficit? Who Knew?
I usually don’t post a new entry so soon after the last post, but there was an interesting article in today’s Wall Street Journal by Andrew Batson. China is... Read »
The Evidence on Chinese Consumption Growth is Still Far More Bearish than Bullish
My ten-day trip – partly holiday on Phuket and Phi Phi islands (even more beautiful than I had expected) and mostly meetings in Bangkok, Hong Kong and Singapore... Read »
US-China Policy Coordination Matters
In my last entry I tried to set out the necessary shifts over the next few years as the world, and especially China and the US, works out its imbalances. These... Read »
Will China’s Trade Surplus Soar?
By coincidence I had two OpEd pieces that came out last week, one in the WSJ and the other in the Financial Times. The latter came about because about a month ago... Read »






