Michael Pettis
Michael Pettis's Latest Articles | 99
The Difficult Arithmetic of Chinese Consumption
How fast does consumption need to grow in China in order for a meaningful rebalancing to take place? Probably a lot more than you think. This is arithmetically... Read »
We All Love Free Trade, Don’t We?
I finally got back to Beijing Friday, and have spent the past five days getting over jet lag and struggling to climb up the seemingly bottomless pit of unanswered... Read »
What Rebalancing of Chinese and American Consumption?
Later today I am leaving to New York and DC for a week, so this may be my last post for several days since my schedule will be pretty hectic. Of course most of... Read »
China: Banking Concerns and University Rankings
There were two interesting and related articles Wednesday, both suggesting that the CBRC continues to be worried about the lending boom and is making what attempt... Read »
China’s High-Speed Rail Network and Speculating Pig Farmers
This weeks’ entry is fairly miscellaneous, a consequence both of the amount and variety of news coming out of China and my own hectic schedule, which prevents... Read »
China’s Overcapacity Problem
The release of September trade data earlier this week was pretty interesting, although because of two or three extra working days last month, plus the very big holiday... Read »
U.S. Dollar Depreciation is Probably a Necessary Process
The US trade deficit unexpectedly narrowed in August, according to the Commerce Department in a report released on Thursday. Exports were up slightly and imports... Read »
The IMF Increasingly Agreeing with the Global Imbalances Analysis of the Economy
As Beijing slowly unlocks from its 60th anniversary celebrations – the streets are still relatively empty but more and more people are going out, although my local... Read »
China: The Risk of Rising Trade Tensions Have Not Abated at All
While the G20 leaders make reassuring noises about international trade, I think the risk of rising trade tensions have not abated at all. As I see it, everything... Read »
How Does this Clash Over Global Savings Get Resolved?
Perhaps it has been because I have been so busy in meetings and school in the past week but it seems to me that not a whole lot has happened to give us much more... Read »






