Michael Pettis
Michael Pettis's Latest Articles | 136
China: No Hard Landing, But No Solution
I have been arguing for a while that as long as the Chinese government retains its capacity to raise debt we are not going to see a sharp slowdown in economic growth... Read »
China: Current Account Dilemma
Creditors nations are worried. Their obligors seem determined to take steps, they claim, to undermine or erode the value of their obligations – at the expense,... Read »
Small Companies Feel the Pain in China
Much of last week’s newsletter was on the data that was released on inflation, new loans, investment, etc. One thing worth noting in the current environment is... Read »
Who Trades RMB?
Most of last week’s newsletter was dedicated to a discussion on Chinese debt, specifically on how we should think about the Chinese debt structure and on when... Read »
China: Looking for Debt
Quite a lot of data came in last week as I was recovering from the jet lag generated by last week’s trip to the US, and for good measure, the PBoC then raised... Read »
Is China Currently Rebalancing?
The currency has been appreciating, the PBoC has hiked interest rates four times, and wages have been surging. Because of all of this I am often asked if China... Read »
Is It Time for the U.S. to Disengage the World from the Dollar?
The week before last on Thursday the Financial Times published an OpEd piece I wrote arguing that Washington should take the lead in getting the world to abandon... Read »
Chinese Recycling and U.S. Interest Rates
I mentioned in last week’s blog entry that during my trips to New York, Washington and Hangzhou in the past two weeks one of the common themes was concern about... Read »
Is Loan Growth in China Slowing?
Most of this week’s very long newsletter focused on the NPC meeting in Beijing, the proposals to boost consumption (which I think will greatly disappoint), and... Read »
Will the U.S. Dollar Remain King of the Currency World?
Barry Eichengreen had a very interesting piece in last week’s Wall Street Journal. In it he argues that we are approaching the end of the period in which the... Read »







