Michael Pettis
Michael Pettis's Latest Articles | 141
Europe’s Depressing Prospects
Normally I don’t like to write about European prospects in the midst of a very rough patch in the market because in that case there isn’t much I can say that... Read »
How can China Rebalance?
No matter how sincere its intentions, what Beijing says it will do over the next few years is meaningful only if its policies are both internally consistent and... Read »
The Japan Debt Disaster and China’s (non)Rebalancing
In this issue of the newsletter I want to sketch out a scenario in which rather than analyze policy announcements or make predictions I try to lay out what are the... Read »
The World Bank Proposes Tough Medicine for China
Contrary to some recent research reports cited in the press I do not think we have seen any substantial rebalancing of the economy towards consumption in 2011. ... Read »
When Will China Emerge from the Global Crisis?
Before getting to the policy debate, I want to mention that in late January Caixin, one of my favorite magazines, had an interview with Liu Mingkang, former China... Read »
Building Debt
Before starting on the subject of debt I wanted to make a quick reference to something sent to me by Charles Horner, a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute. I... Read »
Time to Devalue the RMB?
Europe’s underlying problem is not budget deficits or even unsustainable debt. These are mainly symptoms. The real problem with Europe is the huge divergence... Read »
China: Exports are Suffering, Growth is Slowing
Two weeks ago on Wednesday night, after the Chinese markets closed, the People’s Bank of China announced that it had cut the minimum reserve requirement by 50... Read »
How Do We Know that China is Overinvesting?
For years I have been arguing that the Achilles heel of the Chinese growth model is the unsustainable rise in debt that comes as a necessary consequence of capital... Read »
Will Greece Unravel by Christmas?
In China economists are watching the spectacle in Europe, China’s largest export market, with rising dread. Might European deterioration affect Chinese growth?... Read »







