John B. Taylor
John B. Taylor's Latest Articles | 114
10 Years Doing Business, Measuring Results, and Now Bill Gates
Rumors are flying around that the World Bank will water down or even abandon its ten-year old Doing Business series which measures the extent and quality of pro-growth... Read »
Another Take on Reinhart-Rogoff Controversy
The updated charts below incorporate last Friday’s release of the first quarter GDP data. They continue to tell the story of a weak recovery which, in my view,... Read »
Coding Errors, Austerity, and Exploding Debt
The discovery of errors in the Reinhart-Rogoff paper on the growth-debt nexus is already impacting policy. A participant in last Friday’s G20 meetings told me... Read »
An Opportunity to Compare and Contrast Budgets
It is good news that we now have both House and Senate budget proposals for FY 2014 to compare and contrast. This is a first step back toward old-fashioned regular... Read »
Investment-Unemployment Link Still On Track
When the recovery was getting started I pointed out the remarkably strong inverse relationship between fixed investment as a share of GDP and the unemployment rate,... Read »
Same Old Slow Recovery
The data released last week generated a lot of news stories, first bad ones about the GDP numbers and then good ones about the employment numbers. When you put... Read »
Break the Silence on the Unemployment Problem
In his inaugural address, President Obama said that “An economic recovery has begun.” It was an applause line. The line is correct of course, but it is really... Read »
A Debt Limit Strategy Rather Than Tactics
The recent debate about the debt limit focuses on the negative economic impact of a decision by the government not to increase the debt limit. That’s why President... Read »
No Debt Fix In Sight
The election is over, the fiscal cliff is over, and the problems remain. For the past several years on this blog I have been showing simple charts to monitor progress—or... Read »
More Monetary Policy Uncertainty
The Fed’s announcements yesterday increase monetary policy uncertainty in two fundamental ways. Quantitative Easing on Steroids? First, the new quantitative easing... Read »







