MIT Symposium Highlights Macroeconomic Muddle
MIT had a celebration of their 150th birthday, a Symposia on Economics and Finance: From Theory to Practice to Policy. Here’s Bob Hall’s solution to... Read »
Pimco’s El-Erian on Egypt’s Outlook
Bloomberg Television’s Tom Keene spoke to Mohamed El-Erian, chief executive officer of PIMCO this morning, on Bloomberg Radio’s “Surveillance.”... Read »
Is Something Heating Up Under the Blanket of Snow?
As you may know, both real and nominal GDP growth were a bit disappointing in the fourth quarter, especially nominal growth. On the other hand real final sales... Read »
ISM Manufacturing Report: A+
The Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) manufacturing index surged to 60.8 in January from 58.5 in December. This was also a positive surprise as the consensus... Read »
ISM Manufacturing Breaks Over reading of 60
A very bullish report on the ISM Manufacturing front as a reading of 60.8 was hit. While manufacturing is only 11% of the economy, and 9% of employment (and ... Read »
The Market, not the Central Bankers, Should Decide Interest Rates
Like Paul Krugman, I have little or no pity for the Banksters who are demanding that the rest of us stop saying nasty (and true) things about them. Unlike Paul... Read »
Powerful Evidence that the Big Problem is Demand, Not Structural
It’s easy to find a correlation between two macro variables, as the same sort of factors (inflation, output growth, interest rates) tend to affect all sorts ... Read »
Income, Spending Rise; Savings Fall
In December, Personal Income rose 0.4%, matching the 0.4% rise in November, and just below the 0.5% increase in October. However, both November and October were... Read »
Pent-up Labor Demand Continues to Build
The latest release of The Conference Board Help-Wanted Online data shows a big jump in online want ads in January. This gap between want-ads and hiring is evidence... Read »
Consumer Spending and Income Rise in December
Disposable personal income (DPI) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased in December, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reports. The update marks the... Read »






