The Five Main Shutdown Questions For This Week Are…

As you hear about developments this week towards an agreement on FY2011 spending or a government shutdown, keep asking yourself these questions:

  1. Can John Boehner convince his tea party members to vote for a deal with the White House?
  2. If Boehner can’t convince his tea party folks to support the deal, can he get them to understand/forgive his working with Democrats to get the CR passed and avoid a government shutdown?
  3. Is there any way for Boehner to broker a deal with the White House that will pass the House that doesn’t require him having to support it himself?
  4. Will the White House and House Democrats allow Boehner to not support the deal or will they insist that he publicly declare his love and affection for it?
  5. What price will House Democrats demand to vote with Boehner on the CR and provide the votes to pass it?

And then ask yourself the following questions about what happens next:

  1. If Boehner compromises with the White House and the tea party doesn’t like it, will a deal on the debt ceiling become more difficult because Boehner has to use it to show that he’s really a tea party supporter?
  2. If there’s a government shutdown and the GOP is blamed, will that make it easier to negotiate a deal on the debt ceiling?
  3. If there’s a government shutdown and the Democrats are blamed, will that make the tea party folks in the House more likely to try a similar tactic on the debt ceiling?
About Stan Collender 126 Articles

Affiliation: Qorvis Communications

Stan Collender is a former New Yorker who, after getting a degree from the University of California, Berkeley, moved to Washington to get it out of his system. That was more than 30 years ago.

During most of his career, Collender has worked on the federal budget and congressional budget process, including stints on the staff of the House and Senate Budget Committees; founding the Federal Budget Report, a newsletter that was published for almost two decades; and for the past 11 years writing a weekly column for NationalJournal.com and now RollCall.com.

He is currently a managing director for Qorvis Communications, where he spends most of his time working with and for financial services clients.

Visit: Capital Gains and Games

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