FOMC Statement: Federal Reserves’ New Year Resolution

It’s not an exit strategy, but the Fed is dancing around the edges of the idea by laying the rhetorical groundwork—ever so gently—for the day when the central bank stops whistling a tune of liquidity for all. Yes, the Fed funds target rate remains at the bargain basement rate of zero to 0.25%, today’s FOMC statement revealed. In that respect, nothing’s changed. The market was anticipating no less. But the central bank was also careful to dissuade, discourage and otherwise deter the crowd from assuming that stimulus on steroids is one more government entitlement.

“In light of ongoing improvements in the functioning of financial markets,” the Fed advised this afternoon, “the Committee and the Board of Governors anticipate that most of the Federal Reserve’s special liquidity facilities will expire on February 1, 2010…” It’s a start.

Actually, it’s a continuum. Ben Bernanke, chairman of the Fed and part-time op-ed columnist, wrote in The Wall Street Journal this past July that, yes, there is an exit strategy lurking somewhere in the future. What’s more, the Fed has the means and the will to pull the trigger at some point on the Great Liquidity. Or as the chairman wrote in the summer, “the Federal Reserve has many effective tools to tighten monetary policy when the economic outlook requires us to do so.”

The Fed has been telling us all along that its various forms of quantitative easing will be a fleeting presence. But the emphasis has turned decidedly rigid today, if only partially, by reminding us that there’s a hard date ahead for the inglorious moment when the party ends, or begins to end. The numerous taps weren’t all turned on at once and so they won’t all close together. But close they will.

Back in June, the FOMC statement stressed that it was “extending” its monetary lifelines through “early 2010.” In a subtle but notable shift, we’re now told of an end. Extension is now being replaced by termination dates.

It’s not clear if all the various monetary denouements will be telegraphed so clearly by way of advance warning wrapped in calendrical precision. But whether the news of future finales come like a thief in the night or with full clarity days or weeks ahead of the act, a reckoning awaits.

About James Picerno 894 Articles

James Picerno is a financial journalist who has been writing about finance and investment theory for more than twenty years. He writes for trade magazines read by financial professionals and financial advisers.

Over the years, he’s written for the Wall Street Journal, Barron’s, Bloomberg, Dow Jones, Reuters.

Visit: The Capital Spectator

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