Market Continues to Shrug Off Divergences

World markets are mixed as Europe is off small and Japan leads Asia higher with the Nikkei up 2.2%. S&P futures are down 3-4 handles as some blame Fed governor Fisher’s comments on how we can’t have QE forever. It could also just be that we need another day or so to digest Friday’s move and last week’s volatility.

The longer the S&P stays above 1760-1763 the higher the probability of another move through highs of 1775ish for the melt up to continue. Some still point out all the divergences amongst sectors as a bearish warning, but it’s more like the “right place, right time” tape. Not all stocks are created equal. A close back below 1755 could get the bears growling again louder. A close above 1775 could take us to 1800 by Turkey Day.

In today’s Morning Call we will go over some of the levels in the railroads.

Norfolk Southern (NSC) has been building a nice descending channel to digest the big two-day move from October 23/24. A break above yesterday’s high of $86.86 could lead to upside resolution of this two-week channel. A break above $89 marks new 52-week high.

Union Pacific (UNP) has been holding higher after finding good support at the 200-day in late October. The stock has reclaimed most key moving averages. A break above the 100-day at $156.60 could add some fuel to its rally.

Kansas City Southern (KSU) has a nice upper level base above $121-121.70 following the nice break out at $113 level. A move through $124.70 on good volume could lead to new highs. The stock has a constructive chart with all key moving averages curling up.

CSX Corp (CSX) had a nice two-day move up to get back above all key moving averages. It has some key resistance at $26.90ish. A break and close above this could bring in some buyers.

We will also take a look at social networking names that have been very active.

Twitter (TWTR) had decent action yesterday around the $40.68 pivot after hitting a low of $39.40 and closing decent. It needs time to build as we get more data to trade around.

Facebook (FB) has been grinding lower since it filled the gap from October 18 to the down side. It broke below the pivot of $46.50 yesterday and the longer it stays below the 50-day at $48.30ish, the higher the probability it could retrace lower. Use $45.73 as today’s pivot with a point of reference support at $45.26. If this Head and Shoulders patterns meets the measured move of the head and not just the shoulder, that would bring it down to the $40-42 area.

Yelp! (YELP) had a small inside day after a big move down from $71.87. The stock still feels heavy. A break below Friday’s low of $60.42 could lead to a potential retest of the 100-day at $55.20.

LinkedIn (LNKD) has been stair-stepping lower since its earnings. The stock has lost the support of most key moving averages. Staying below $217 could lead to a move down to retest its 200-day at $197.50ish.

Zynga (ZNGA) continues to show some weakness. The stock has a bear flag pattern in place as it’s hanging by a thread at $3.40. A break below this could bring out some sellers.

High beta tech remains mixed.

Apple (AAPL) is still holding above $512-515 to keep it somewhat interesting. Really needs to take out $522-525 with authority to get back in play.

Netflix (NFLX) is still hanging around. As long as it stays above $330ish it’s in the game for another potential move above $345ish for cash flow. Google (GOOG) was downgraded yesterday but didn’t fall apart. The support pivot for active traders is $1007.

Amazon (AMZN) had a decent bounce back from the 21-day back to resistance. If the bears want more downside they shouldn’t let the bulls reclaim $357ish.

Some retail names continue to act well. Kors (KORS) hit another all time high. JC Penney (JCP) keeps giving trades with the next level at $8.73. Target (TGT) is perking up and needs to close above $66 for more momentum.

Metals continue lower like most of 2013. The “blood on the street” lows from June 28 still prove to be the only real long swing trade this year. I guess you can say GLD has support at $121.85 then those previous lows.

Rates got back on track in mid-October and TBT resumed its uptrend as it crossed above $73.50 and then again on Friday’s gap that it’s been holding. Banks still hang tough and should be in focus.

No need to be all in or all out, just some quick feet and ideas.

Disclosure: Scott Redler is long TWTR, TGT, BAC, POT, XLF. Short SPY.

About Scott Redler 367 Articles

Scott Redler is the Chief Strategic Officer of T3 Live. He develops all trading strategies for the service and acts as the face of T3 Live. Mr. Redler focuses on thorough preparation and discipline as a trader.

Mr. Redler has been trading equities for more than 10 years and has more recently received widespread recognition from the financial community for his insightful, pragmatic approach. He began his career as a broker and venture capitalist where he was able to facilitate relationships that led him into trading. Beginning his trading career at Broadway Trading in 1999, Mr. Redler moved on with Marc Sperling to Sperling Enterprises, LLC after establishing himself as one of the best young traders in the firm. As a manager at Sperling Enterprises, continued to trade actively while working closely with all traders in the firm to dramatically increase performance.

Mr. Redler has participated in more than 30 triathlons and one IronMan, exhibiting a work ethic that also defines his trading. His vast knowledge and meticulous attention to detail has led to regular appearances on CNBC, Fox Business, Bloomberg, and he is a regular contributor to Minyanville and Forbes’ Intelligent Investing blog. He has been quoted in the Wall Street Journal and Investor's Business Daily, among other publications.

Scott received a B.B.A. in Marketing/Finance from the State University of New York at Albany, graduating Magna Cum Laude from Albany's School of Business.

Visit: T3Live

Be the first to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.


*